Ajax v Napoli Betting Tips [4 October 2022]

Football - Champions League

4 October 2022 15:00

45' :  1 - 3
Napoli +0.5 Asian Handicap

The match

An intriguing clash in the Champions League Group A sees Eredivisie champions Ajax facing off against a high-flying Napoli side at Amsterdam Arena in the Dutch capital. The hosts were unable to put an end to their winless run on the weekend against Go Ahead Eagles after being held to a 1-1 draw. This marks the first time that Ajax has gone three matches without a victory since December of 2020 with losses against AZ and Liverpool preceding their most recent result. They now face off against both the Serie A and Champions League Group A leaders Napoli who have been having a fantastic start and are yet to lose in the 2022/23 campaign. The Gli Azzurri recorded a 3-1 victory at home against Torino in their last outing on the weekend which saw them storm out to a 3-0 lead in the first 37 minutes of play. A win against Ajax would give Napoli a seven match winning streak in all competitions and would equal the longest the club has had since 2015.

There are definitely some concerns starting to pop up for Ajax supporters due to their results over the last three matches. While they are by no means in trouble in the league as they trail current leaders AZ by just a point, a loss against Napoli here would put them in a very tough position to qualify to the knockout rounds of the Champions League. They will have away trips to Naples and Glasgow as well as a visit from Liverpool as their remaining fixtures. Fans may look towards the fact that their two recent losses came away from home and de Godenzonen were unlucky not to take the full three points against Go Ahead Eagles on the weekend. However, the hosts have yet to be really tested at home this season and will face one of Europe’s most in-form clubs on Tuesday. Manager Luciano Spaletti has Napoli playing some wonderful football and should make for an interesting matchup between two teams that prioritize keeping hold of the ball.

Key Statistics

  • Napoli is unbeaten in their last 21 matches dating back to last season and including friendlies, posting an overall record of 16-5-0.
  • Napoli has created 18 clear cut scoring chances over their last five matches, scoring a total of 13 goals (2.6 average per match).
  • Ajax has conceded in three straight matches, allowing six clear cut chances against giving up five goals.

The bet of our experts

We’re going to back Napoli on the +0.5 Asian Handicap as our bet for this match. This means that a draw or a win for the visitors will result in our bet cashing. This will be the first big home test for Ajax this season and it couldn’t come at a worse time. Napoli have been on fire in both the league and the Champions League, with their 4-1 pummeling of Liverpool a particular highlight, while Ajax are on their worst run for nearly two years. Napoli should smell blood in the water here and capitalize by earning at least a point in this one. Under 3 goals is another option as both teams will look to dominante the possession which should slow the pace of the game down considerably.
Created on 01/10/2022 at 23:10
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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