Defending Brazilian Serie A champions Flamengo will look to bounce back from the opening matchday defeat when they take on Atlético Goianiense, who are back in the top-flight after a two-year absence. Atlético have seen their first match against Corinthians rescheduled due to COVID-19 scare, while Flamengo started their season with a 1-0 loss against Atlético Mineiro.
Without a competitive match for nearly five months, Atlético have won seven of their last nine matches, including the last five in a row. Pertinently, seven of those nine matches saw Atlético keeping a full-time clean sheet. Although early days, we have seen five of the six completed matches produce under 2.5 goals which could be in play here. Furthermore, only two of Atlético’s last nine matches have seen both teams score. The home record adds more formidability to Atlético, who are unbeaten in their last 19 matches played at home. This sequence saw Atlético win 12 and draw seven with 11 clean sheets in total.
Flamengo’s loss on the opening matchday was a surprise considering it was their first loss at the regular time in their last 19 competitive matches. This sequence saw Flamengo win 16 and draw two. Although they ended last Serie A season with a loss, Flamengo have lost only two of their last 26 league matches. During this sequence, Flamengo have won 21 matches and have drawn three apart from the two losses – one of which has come this season. Crucially, Flamengo’s away form has been top-notch too with the side losing just one of their last 12 Serie A away matches – winning ten and drawing one.
Atlético Goianiense have seen their Serie A start rescheduled and will now hope to catch Flamengo on the wrong foot. The defending champions must be smarting from their loss to Atlético Mineiro and will hope to make their favourable record against Atlético Goianiense count. The first round of matches witnessed very less action with five of the six matches played ending with under 2.5 goals. We are backing this match to also follow the same route. As for the winning pick, backing Flamengo to get back to winning ways could pay dividends.